Network for Transport Measures

Scenario analysis driving and evaluating GHG transition progress

In the autumn member meeting, we focus on scenario analysis as a supporting tool for strategy development towards GHG-emission free transportation.

Historically NTM and NTMCalc has mainly been used for calculating emissions and energy use for carried out transport operations. To look into the future, including potential new solutions have been considered difficult and more uncertain. Still, we know that shippers and carriers, requests more long-term forecasts. Including requirements and possibilities in order to reach climate targets. In this member meeting we want to highlight the possibilities and drawbacks in using scenario analysis to support and evaluate the transition progress.

Venue:                Microsoft Teams

Date:                   November 13

Time:                  13.00-15.00 (CET)

Registration:      info[a]transportmeasures.org no later than November 11

Program

Scenario techniques as a method to drive and follow-up transition progress

Håkan Johansson, Trivector

Swedish Transport Administration scenarios towards 2045

Helen Lindblom, Trafikverket

Shipper based scenarioo analysis towards 2050 based on NTM tools

Magnus Swahn, NTM

Discussions

The seminar ends with a discussion regarding opportunities and risks with scenario analysis. Thereafter we end the meeting by discussing data quality and its connection to scenario analysis. The aim is to continue this discussion at the coming annual member meeting the comming spring as the main topic.